8 January 2025
Kai Kong Chay, Senior Portfolio Manager, Greater China Equities
Wenlin Li, Senior Portfolio Manager, Greater China Equities
Ben Yu, Head of Equities, Taiwan Region
In 2024, Greater China equities closed higher due to a series of stimulus measures which catalysed the underlying structural momentums and growth trends. In this 2025 outlook, the Greater China Equities team will elaborate on four reasons for more upside potential going into 2025 despite potential US tariff concerns and geopolitical headwinds, as well as investment opportunities based on the 4As positioning for Greater China equity markets.
1) New fiscal policy initiatives
2) Mainland China can navigate tariff situations via different methods
3) Mainland Chinese corporates are “valuing up”.
4) Mainland China/Hong Kong markets can re-rate with better fiscal policy execution
From a sector perspective, we believe that mainland China should benefit from the following key areas despite macro and geopolitical headwinds:
Our investment process: GCMV + catalyst
Our investment team uses the GCMV (growth, cash generation, management, valuation) + catalyst framework to conduct investment research. This framework is applied for all company analysis which helps identify companies with competitive advantage, strong financial profile, earnings catalysts, and management teams that have created value for shareholders.
4As positioning
We believe there are 4 megatrends (expressed via the 4As positioning) which present growth opportunities that the team invest in via the GCMV lens.
We favour service-oriented and niche consumption sectors, including Technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) and platform companies (e.g. food delivery, online music), education, tourism, and home appliances (e.g. smart appliances)
We prefer leading companies with strong innovative capabilities and global footprints in the healthcare, and industrial and EV sectors.
In terms of investment opportunities, we favour AI wearable devices, AI smartphone supply chain and autonomous vehicles.
For Taiwan Region, we believe the next generation of AI development continues to present many structural opportunities across foundries, the next generation of AI, data centres, and HBM, etc. in the medium-to-long term.
We prefer strong, advanced manufacturing leaders with robust research and development capabilities. These companies benefit from the domestic growth recovery while at the same time riding on overseas market strength due to strong pricing and margins in overseas markets.
聯儲局展開寬鬆周期 利好美國固定收益資產
我們認為,優先證券及美元入息(美元核心固定收益)的動態投資方針有助駕馭經濟和利率周期,為尋求較優質資產和相對穩定收益的固定收益投資者,提供吸引的投資機會。
高收益多元資產方案 駕馭利率及增長不明朗的因素
我們認為配置於宏利環球多元資產入息基金這類多元資產收益方案仍然合適,對投資者而言具有吸引力,因為孳息率仍處於高水平,有望在市場中捕捉大量高收益投資的機會。
2025年前景展望系列:亞太區房地產投資信託
亞太房託應能受惠於宏觀環境轉變所帶動的多項正面趨勢,例如每單位派息增長改善和併購機會增加。
聯儲局展開寬鬆周期 利好美國固定收益資產
我們認為,優先證券及美元入息(美元核心固定收益)的動態投資方針有助駕馭經濟和利率周期,為尋求較優質資產和相對穩定收益的固定收益投資者,提供吸引的投資機會。
高收益多元資產方案 駕馭利率及增長不明朗的因素
我們認為配置於宏利環球多元資產入息基金這類多元資產收益方案仍然合適,對投資者而言具有吸引力,因為孳息率仍處於高水平,有望在市場中捕捉大量高收益投資的機會。
2025年前景展望系列:亞太區房地產投資信託
亞太房託應能受惠於宏觀環境轉變所帶動的多項正面趨勢,例如每單位派息增長改善和併購機會增加。