8 January 2025
Kai Kong Chay, Senior Portfolio Manager, Greater China Equities
Wenlin Li, Senior Portfolio Manager, Greater China Equities
Ben Yu, Head of Equities, Taiwan Region
In 2024, Greater China equities closed higher due to a series of stimulus measures which catalysed the underlying structural momentums and growth trends. In this 2025 outlook, the Greater China Equities team will elaborate on four reasons for more upside potential going into 2025 despite potential US tariff concerns and geopolitical headwinds, as well as investment opportunities based on the 4As positioning for Greater China equity markets.
1) New fiscal policy initiatives
2) Mainland China can navigate tariff situations via different methods
3) Mainland Chinese corporates are “valuing up”.
4) Mainland China/Hong Kong markets can re-rate with better fiscal policy execution
From a sector perspective, we believe that mainland China should benefit from the following key areas despite macro and geopolitical headwinds:
Our investment process: GCMV + catalyst
Our investment team uses the GCMV (growth, cash generation, management, valuation) + catalyst framework to conduct investment research. This framework is applied for all company analysis which helps identify companies with competitive advantage, strong financial profile, earnings catalysts, and management teams that have created value for shareholders.
4As positioning
We believe there are 4 megatrends (expressed via the 4As positioning) which present growth opportunities that the team invest in via the GCMV lens.
We favour service-oriented and niche consumption sectors, including Technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) and platform companies (e.g. food delivery, online music), education, tourism, and home appliances (e.g. smart appliances).
We prefer leading companies with strong innovative capabilities and global footprints in the healthcare, and industrial and EV sectors.
In terms of investment opportunities, we favour AI wearable devices, AI smartphone supply chain and autonomous vehicles.
For Taiwan Region, we believe the next generation of AI development continues to present many structural opportunities across foundries, data centres, and HBM, etc. in the medium-to-long term.
We prefer strong, advanced manufacturing leaders with robust research and development capabilities. These companies benefit from the domestic growth recovery while at the same time riding on overseas market strength due to strong pricing and margins in overseas markets.
Takeaways from China’s NPC Meeting & upcoming drivers for Greater China equity market
In addition to the recent breakthroughs in AI and humanoid robot development, we observe other positive catalysts that further support the region’s market.
2025 Outlook Series: Global Semiconductors
From an investment perspective, we believe a diverse, global portfolio of high conviction, quality companies in these target industries offers an attractive, long-term risk-return profile underpinned by robust fundamentals, significant tailwinds, structural demand growth and earnings visibility.
2025 Outlook Series: Asia Fixed Income
As rate paths shift and market volatility is expected to increase across global rates, credit, and currency markets, we explain why the sub-asset classes within the Asian fixed income space (Asia high yield, Asia investment grade, and Asia local currency) could provide shelter with opportunities.
Takeaways from China’s NPC Meeting & upcoming drivers for Greater China equity market
In addition to the recent breakthroughs in AI and humanoid robot development, we observe other positive catalysts that further support the region’s market.
2025 Outlook Series: Global Semiconductors
From an investment perspective, we believe a diverse, global portfolio of high conviction, quality companies in these target industries offers an attractive, long-term risk-return profile underpinned by robust fundamentals, significant tailwinds, structural demand growth and earnings visibility.
2025 Outlook Series: Asia Fixed Income
As rate paths shift and market volatility is expected to increase across global rates, credit, and currency markets, we explain why the sub-asset classes within the Asian fixed income space (Asia high yield, Asia investment grade, and Asia local currency) could provide shelter with opportunities.