
Macroeconomic Strategy Team
6 July 2023
Key takeaways
1. The market is premature in its pricing of dovish pivots from central banks, both in terms of timing and magnitude.
2. There’s a risk that even if the Fed pauses in the coming months, the next move could be more tightening, not easing.
3. Markets need to reassess the central bank put for asset prices.
2026 Mid-Year Outlook Series: Global Macroeconomic
The Middle East conflict remains a key macro theme in H2 2026, with geopolitical uncertainty persisting despite a tentative US-Iran deal. Even if Strait of Hormuz blockades are lifted, we have low conviction that commodities traffic through the region will resume swiftly, with some degree of geopolitical uncertainty likely to persist through the rest of this year.
Latest asset allocation views for Asia Q2 2026
Three key global themes for latest asset allocation view in Q2 2026 are: 1.Middle East conflict: energy risk and macro uncertainty; 2. AI: bubble or build-out; 3. Diversification isn’t dead; it’s different.
Q&A: US equities outlook
Michael J. Mattioli, Portfolio Manager, share his current view on US equities market, where geopolitical uncertainty and AI-driven change coexist with compelling opportunities.
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2026 Mid-Year Outlook Series: Global Macroeconomic
The Middle East conflict remains a key macro theme in H2 2026, with geopolitical uncertainty persisting despite a tentative US-Iran deal. Even if Strait of Hormuz blockades are lifted, we have low conviction that commodities traffic through the region will resume swiftly, with some degree of geopolitical uncertainty likely to persist through the rest of this year.
Latest asset allocation views for Asia Q2 2026
Three key global themes for latest asset allocation view in Q2 2026 are: 1.Middle East conflict: energy risk and macro uncertainty; 2. AI: bubble or build-out; 3. Diversification isn’t dead; it’s different.